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Macro Outlook

Macro Outlook
2026-08-30 03:58:02

Next Week’s Macro Calendar: Nonfarm Payrolls, G20 Central Bankers, and Dell and Broadcom Earnings

Markets will get a packed U.S. macro calendar next week, led by the August nonfarm payrolls report, the G20 finance ministers and central bank governors meeting, and the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book. Reuters poll data points to a 58,000 rise in payrolls, an unemployment rate held at 4.1%, and a 0.2% monthly gain in average hourly earnings. The jobs report will land on Friday, making it the last nonfarm release before the Fed’s Sept. 16 policy meeting and a key test for expectations around a September rate hike. Current pricing shows the odds of a September move near 60%, with the probability of a hike by December above 90%. The G20 gathering will be held Monday and Tuesday in Asheville, North Carolina, where central bankers will speak again after Jackson Hole. The Beige Book will also be released before the Fed’s next meeting. Several other U.S. data releases are scheduled through the week, including final S&P Global manufacturing PMI, ISM manufacturing and services PMIs, ADP employment, and weekly jobless claims. The Bank of Canada will announce its rate decision on Wednesday; markets expect it to keep rates unchanged at 2.25%. Earnings season adds another layer. Dell reports Tuesday after the U.S. close, with adjusted EPS expected at $4.91. Broadcom follows Wednesday after the close, with revenue seen at about $29.4 billion and EPS at $3.24. Their guidance will be watched for signals on demand for AI servers, custom chips, and networking gear.

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